Korean Stocks in Moving Average Alignment

Stocks with exit risk of 45% or higher make up 47% of aligned stocks, more than the 30% that entered in the last 4 weeks. The top entry candidate, HanaMicronInc., is 1.8x as likely to align within 4 weeks as the base rate for the current market regime.

Screening all 389 stocks for weekly 4/13/26/52-week alignment, surfacing only stocks currently in alignment and tracking whether it spreads within the same sector. As of week of 26-10-12.
Currently Aligned
30
7.7% of all screened stocks
New Entries (4w)
9
Most active sector · Semiconductor
Cooling Down
14
Exit risk ≥ 45% within 4 weeks
Top Next Candidate
HanaMicronInc.
Semiconductor · 14% within 4 weeks
Market regime: Bearish
Sector Contagion · Next Entry CandidatesAs alignment builds up within a sector, the entry probability of remaining stocks rises
Current market regime: Bearish

Semiconductor has the most new entries over the last 4 weeks. None of the listed candidates is at least twice the base rate.

Semiconductor7/42 stocks aligned (17%)
5 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:Semiconductor Materials & Consumables 0w
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks
Food & Staples1/13 stocks aligned (8%)
3 new entries (4w)
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks
Chemicals & Refining3/21 stocks aligned (14%)
2 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:Refining & Feedstocks 5w
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks
Construction & Infrastructure1/17 stocks aligned (6%)
2 new entries (4w)
Shipping & Logistics1/4 stocks aligned (25%)
0 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:Bulk & Tanker 11w
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks
Financial Services5/21 stocks aligned (24%)
0 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:Insurance 8w
Cosmetics & Beauty2/12 stocks aligned (17%)
0 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:ODM & Manufacturing 14w
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks
Travel & Leisure2/16 stocks aligned (13%)
0 new entries (4w)
Chain basket aligned:Airlines 1w
Not yet aligned — probability of entry within 4 weeks

Entry probabilities are read from an empirical grid since Sep 2023 — bucketed by each sector/node's new entries over the past 4 weeks and the market regime, using the actual share that entered within 4 weeks in that bucket. The 'x' multiplier is relative to the baseline rate for the same market regime.

The pattern rises monotonically across regimes even after controlling for overall market entry rate in terciles, so it isn't purely a rising-tide effect. That said, sector co-movement at entry time does not predict how long the alignment will last — contagion signals which stocks may enter next, not how long they'll stay.

Exit RiskProbability of exiting alignment within 4 weeks, for currently aligned stocks
Stocks with a negative strength slope are ranked at the top

Stocks with exit risk of 45% or higher cluster in Financial Services (5) and Unclassified (3). The average exit risk across all aligned stocks is 43%.

StockSectorAgeStrength4w ChangeSince EntryExit Risk
Xi S&D Inc.317400.KSConstruction & Infrastructure10w73.2%-43.0%+5.4%66%
KOLMAR KOREA CO.,LTD161890.KSCosmetics & Beauty15w48.0%-22.2%+4.5%66%
HYUNDAIMARINE&FIREINSURANCECO.,LTD.001450.KSFinancial Services21w33.6%-15.8%+23.3%66%
MIRAE ASSET Life Insurance CO., Ltd.085620.KSFinancial Services7w27.9%-13.9%—66%
DN AUTOMOTIVE CORPORATION007340.KSAutomotive10w27.9%-8.0%-16.9%66%
DB INSURANCE CO.,LTD005830.KSFinancial Services5w18.3%-5.2%+1.7%66%
Hanwha General Insurance Co., Ltd.000370.KSFinancial Services5w11.9%-18.9%-16.7%66%
BINGGRAE CO.,LTD005180.KSFood & Staples0w13.1%-5.5%0.0%59%
HANJINKAL180640.KSUnclassified7w10.5%-7.3%-0.7%59%
SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO,.LTD (Preferred)005935.KSSemiconductor3w33.7%-3.4%—59%
COSMAX, INC.192820.KSCosmetics & Beauty7w40.1%-2.6%-6.1%56%
Suprema Inc.236200.KQUnclassified1w20.3%+1.2%+2.4%49%
COWAY Co., Ltd.021240.KSUnclassified6w14.1%+1.8%+1.8%49%
MERITZ FINANCIAL GROUP INC.138040.KSFinancial Services5w10.5%-0.9%+3.3%49%
LOTTE rental co., ltd.089860.KSTravel & Leisure10w43.1%-2.1%+26.0%45%
S-Oil Corporation010950.KSChemicals & Refining13w41.2%+0.0%+9.2%45%
KOREAN AIR LINES CO.,LTD003490.KSTravel & Leisure7w20.6%+3.1%+6.3%45%
Pan Ocean Co., Ltd.028670.KSShipping & Logistics5w20.5%+0.1%+8.6%41%
Global Tax Free Co., Ltd.204620.KQUnclassified3w12.1%+2.6%+1.4%41%
SAMWHA CAPACITOR CO.,LTD001820.KSAutomotive5w100.0%+11.4%+3.9%35%
SK GAS LTD018670.KSChemicals & Refining0w6.1%+6.1%0.0%32%
TESCO.,LTD.095610.KQSemiconductor2w65.5%+8.9%-9.0%30%
SEEGENE, INC.096530.KQBio8w31.3%+7.6%+20.3%30%
SK Innovation Co., Ltd.096770.KSChemicals & Refining3w28.3%+13.9%+5.1%17%
JUSUNG ENGINEERING Co.,Ltd.036930.KQSemiconductor6w113.3%+17.0%+46.9%16%
INTEKPLUS CO., LTD064290.KQSemiconductor5w108.3%+41.3%+26.3%16%
PSK HOLDINGS INC.031980.KQSemiconductor5w88.7%+31.5%+37.6%16%
SIMMTECH Co., Ltd.222800.KQSemiconductor5w82.8%+25.2%+14.7%16%
KCTECH CO., LTD281820.KSSemiconductor2w71.9%+49.0%+27.7%16%
SFA Semicon Co., Ltd036540.KSSemiconductor0w69.3%+57.3%0.0%16%
Xi S&D Inc.
317400.KS
66%
Sector
Construction & Infrastructure
Age
10w
Strength
73.2%
Since Entry
+5.4%
59%
Sector
Food & Staples
Age
0w
Strength
13.1%
Since Entry
0.0%
HANJINKAL
180640.KS
59%
Sector
Unclassified
Age
7w
Strength
10.5%
Since Entry
-0.7%
COSMAX, INC.
192820.KS
56%
Sector
Cosmetics & Beauty
Age
7w
Strength
40.1%
Since Entry
-6.1%
Suprema Inc.
236200.KQ
49%
Sector
Unclassified
Age
1w
Strength
20.3%
Since Entry
+2.4%
49%
Sector
Unclassified
Age
6w
Strength
14.1%
Since Entry
+1.8%
45%
Sector
Chemicals & Refining
Age
13w
Strength
41.2%
Since Entry
+9.2%
SK GAS LTD
018670.KS
32%
Sector
Chemicals & Refining
Age
0w
Strength
6.1%
Since Entry
0.0%
TESCO.,LTD.
095610.KQ
30%
Sector
Semiconductor
Age
2w
Strength
65.5%
Since Entry
-9.0%
SEEGENE, INC.
096530.KQ
30%
Sector
Bio
Age
8w
Strength
31.3%
Since Entry
+20.3%
16%
Sector
Semiconductor
Age
2w
Strength
71.9%
Since Entry
+27.7%
Exit probability is an empirical rate read from a grid of the (4w MA − 13w MA) gap and the recent 4-week strength change. Weeks-since-entry is not used — empirically, age does not predict when a stock will exit alignment.